Democrats will snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. The mood of the voters is clearly in their favor. President Bush's low approval ratings and lackluster performance in his second term has turned the tide in favor of Democrats. They are also able to raise a lot more money than the Republicans. Yet they will lose
In the final analysis, their defeat will stem from their own karma rather than any right wing conspiracy, fear mongering or bad luck. You have to only listen to their sterile debates to quickly sense the poverty of ideas in that party. They have made up their minds and don't want to be confused by facts on the ground. The idea of "universal care" was tried in California, at the insistence of dyed-in-the-wool Democrats in the legislature, and flopped. Yet this has not registered with them. The surge has clearly succeeded, the Iraqis are also making political progress and their young are frustrated with the clerics but this has no effect on the thinking of Democrats. None whatsoever.
Its not an accident that the Democratic primaries are stretching on and on. Both the contestants have about the same proposals for the voters. Barack Obama is further left of Hillary but the distance between them is not significant. In a vibrant party, you would expect major differences of opinion. Tony Blair, for example, energized the Labor Party in Britain by questioning the then prevailing orthodoxy within his party. Eventually, his party won a clear majority for several years based on a compelling platform.
In the Democratic Party, the contest is more about the sales pitch of the candidates--in either case based on false claims. Barack Obama has no track record of leading a path breaking initiative. In fact, I had not heard about him before he started his campaign for Presidency. Ms Clinton's has been a senator and a first lady but she has never governed any state or anything. The idea that these rookies would even try to be the President of the most powerful country in the world is so bizarre.
The protracted primaries and close contests in primaries of the Democratic will inevitably lead to the predicted train wreck. Expect a bedlam in Denver. An ambitious Ms Clinton is unlikely to let go. The moment of truth for the Democratic party is not far away. All the anti-Bush drumbeat will come to nothing. In the end, the voters will realize that a party that does not have a program for their pressing problems is best left to deal with its own issues.